The Colorado Avalanche pushed the St. Louis Blues to the brink of elimination with a convincing win in Game 4, and now the series returns to Denver. This might be the last chance to bet on (or against) the Blues this season, and this betting guide will offer the best value bets for Game 5 based on trends throughout the series.
Puck Line: Avalanche (-1.5, +100)
There is little value in playing the money line for either team in Game 5. The Avalanche’s money line (-240) is far too steep, and betting the Blues to win outright (+195) is far too risky. The Blues were much better in the pair of games in Colorado, but St. Louis had their top goaltender in those games before losing Jordan Binnington to injury in Game 3.
Colorado usually gets more value from their puck line, but getting even money still provides some value with how the Avalanche have dominated this series. Colorado is likely going to win and wrap this series up, and even money on the Avs puck line (+100) might be the best value bettors are going to get for the remainder of this series.
Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-110)
Once Binnington was ruled out for the rest of the series, the over became almost a must-play in this series. The Blues are salty enough to get at least a couple against Darcy Kuemper, and Blues backup Ville Husso is completely out of his element against the Avalanche. Colorado has scored 11 goals in the last two games – nine against Husso with the other two going in on an empty net.
Colorado likely isn’t going to score four goals in a span of five minutes again, but the goals are going to be there. Husso was rotten against the Avalanche in the regular season, and Colorado has continued to light him up in this series. The goals should keep coming in Game 5, just like they have been in the previous two contests. Stick with the over and take the decent odds once again (O6.5, -110).
Prop Bet: Second Period Goals (Over 2.5, +145)
Since Husso has entered the series, the second period has been a wild ride. Nine goals have been scored in the second period of the last two games – three in Game 3 and a whopping six in Game 4. With St. Louis on the brink of elimination, play will likely open up even more than it has been.
Colorado’s taken their time settling into the entire series, as the Blues have scored the first goal in all four games. However, the Avalanche have rocked and rolled in the middle stanza in all four games. The Avs have 15 goals in the series, and eight of them have come in the second period. Exactly half of the goals scored in this series (13 of 26) have been scored in the second, so this is a great number (+145) for three goals to be scored in the second on Wednesday.
Odds via FanDuel and BetMGM
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