There are only eight games on the schedule in the Major Leagues on Thursday, but there is an intriguing pair of National League tilts for bettors. The Cincinnati Reds take on the Chicago Cubs and the Milwaukee Brewers face the Pittsburgh Pirates. This betting guide will give some of the best value plays for both of those games based on recent trends.
Cincinnati Reds (+105) vs Chicago Cubs (-125)
The Reds are playing better lately, winning three of their last five. Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks has been up and down this season but is still the target of trade talks. He got dinged for four runs in four innings in a May 25 loss to these same Reds. Cincinnati has also won five of the last seven meetings in Chicago, including four of the last five games this season. Take the Reds (+105) for a slight upset in this one.
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The total has gone over in four of the six games between these teams this season, and it’s gone over in each of Reds starter Graham Ashcraft’s last three starts. However, the under has hit in four of Hendricks’ last five outings, and this number seems pretty high. These offenses have been a bit erratic, so lean towards the under (U10, -115).
Milwaukee Brewers (-120) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (+100)
Don’t look now, but the Brewers have won four in a row and five of their last six. Milwaukee has won all six games between these teams this season as well as the last five meetings in Pittsburgh. The Brewers are on a roll right now, while the Pirates have won just one of their last five games. Expect those trends to continue. Take the Brewers (-120) to keep rolling.
Milwaukee starter Adrian Houser has gotten touched up a bit in his last three outings, posting a 6.48 ERA with a 1.62 WHIP (walks+hits per inning pitched) across 16.2 innings pitched. The over has landed in three of his last five starts and has gone 6-0-1 in Milwaukee’s last seven overall. The Pirates’ offense has struggled, but starter J.T. Brubaker has been erratic, too. Lean towards the over (O9, -110).
Odds via BetMGM
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