MLB Betting: Rays vs Brewers & Mets vs Astros – 06/28/22

In today’s MLB betting guide, we look at two strong underdogs to come out on top in the Milwaukee Brewers and the New York Mets as they take on the Tampa Bay Rays and Houston Astros, respectively.

Tampa Bay Rays (-120) vs Milwaukee Brewers (+100)

Both teams come into this game on a winning streak, the Brewers with a two-game but are 7-3 in their last 10 games, and the Rays having won three in a row but are just 5-5 over their past 10. The Rays have 25 of their 40 wins at home and also just swept the Pittsburgh Pirates at home in their last series. They’ve had more trouble with good teams lately, though, as they’ve gotten beat by the New York Yankees twice, while the Minnesota Twins and Baltimore Orioles also took series against the Rays.

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The Brewers bats are hot coming into this one, while the Rays have continued to struggle offensively minus Isaac Paredes who’s extremely hot. One player can’t carry the team, so as much as you should expect this to be a pitching matchup, the Brewers have the clear advantage offensively with their 13th-ranked offense as opposed to the Rays’ 21st-ranked offense. Take the Brewers as the underdog for great value and the over (O7, -120) since it’s set very low.

New York Mets (+105) vs Houston Astros (-125)

Two heavyweights clash in the first of a short two-game series between the Mets and the Astros. Both come into this game having lost their last outing, so both will be looking to turn things around in short order as the Astros are still 7-3 in their past 10 and the Mets are 6-4. The Mets have two more wins on the season and are 24-10 at home where they’ve won 14 of their past 16 games.

On the outside, the pitching matchup may look like it favors the Astros, but neither has pitched very well over their past few starts. Luis Garcia, the pitcher for the Astros, has had his stats boosted by the defensive play behind him, while Carlos Carrasco’s fortunes have been the other way in that he’s pitched better than his ERA (earned run average) of 4.42 shows. His FIP (fielding independent pitching) is actually 3.58 and he issues fewer walks and home runs than Garcia. Looking a little deeper, the Mets have the third-ranked offense and have the third-most hits in the MLB, while the Astros are ranked 18th-20th in both even though their offense has been great lately. Take the Mets at great value in this one and the over (O8, -115) to surely hit.

Odds via Yahoo and BetMGM.

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