MLB Betting: Padres vs Dodgers & Cardinals vs Phillies – 07/03/2022

There’s another great slate of games for the holiday weekend on Sunday, as the Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres and the St. Louis Cardinals take on the Philadelphia Phillies. This betting guide will give some insight into the top value plays in those two games based on recent trends.

San Diego Padres (+155) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (-190)

Los Angeles is starting Clayton Kershaw against San Diego’s MacKenzie Gore in a pretty good pitching matchup. Kershaw won his only start against the Padres this season, giving up one run and four hits in five innings back on April 24. Gore has been pretty good this season with a 3.34 ERA, but he’s been hammered in his last three starts. He has gone 0-2 with an ERA of 11.12, giving up 17 hits and 14 runs in 11.1 innings pitched. The Dodgers (-190) have won four in a row, and take them here again.

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Gore has been a little rocky lately, and Kershaw got tagged for four runs in five innings in his last start. However, he hasn’t given up more than one run in back-to-back starts all season. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these teams and is 8-1-2 in the Dodgers’ last 11 against the NL West. This looks like it could go low again, so play the under (U8, -115).

St. Louis Cardinals (+120) vs Philadelphia Phillies (-145)

There’s another decent pitching matchup taking place in Philadelphia with the Phillies’ Zack Wheeler facing St. Louis stalwart Adam Wainwright. Wheeler has been lights out at home, going 4-2 this season with a 1.85 ERA and 0.86 WHIP (walks+hits per inning pitched). Wainwright’s in the midst of another good season with a 3.07 ERA through his 15 starts, and he’s coming off a great win on June 27 against the Miami Marlins where he threw seven shutout innings and struck out nine in a 9-0 Cardinals victory. Wheeler’s been just too good at home to ignore, so lean toward Philly (-145) in a tight one.

St. Louis has gone under in three of the last four games since Wainwright’s gem against Miami. The total has also gone under in five of the last six meetings between these teams and is 5-2 in St. Louis’ last seven contests overall. Both of these pitchers have been good lately, and that trend looks like it could continue on Sunday. Lean towards the under once again in this one (U7.5, -105).

Odds via BetMGM

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