There are a bunch of great National League matchups on Sunday. The New York Mets and Los Angeles Dodgers wrap up a three-game set between two of the league’s best teams, while the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers face off again in another high-profile contest. This betting guide has insight into the best value picks for those games based on recent trends.
San Diego Padres (+110) vs Milwaukee Brewers (-135)
After dropping the series opener, the Padres have won the last two games of this series, and they haven’t allowed Milwaukee to score in either of those wins. San Diego’s Mike Clevinger will be getting his first start since May 17 when he hit the injured list with a triceps strain after making three starts. He was sharp in those three starts but will likely be on a pitch count. Brewers starter Eric Lauer has also been good, so lean towards the Brewers money line (-135) in this one.
The totals have been low this entire series, and the over has hit in two of the last three games. It’s going to be tough for the Padres to shut out the Brewers in three straight games. However, both of these starters are pretty difficult to pile up runs on. This is another low total, and the best play is probably to lean towards the under (U7.5, -110), but the uncertainty of Clevinger’s return means this total might be one to stay away from.
New York Mets (+150) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (-185)
After a sizzling start to the season, Dodgers starter Julio Urias has been up and down, and the Dodgers have lost four of his last five starts. For the Mets, a Trevor Williams start means a heavy dose of the bullpen is coming, and New York used six relievers in Saturday’s victory. With Williams struggles on the road, and the Mets bullpen a bit used up, this looks like a spot to back Urias to change his luck. Lean toward the Dodgers (-185), and consider the L.A. run line (-1.5, +105).
The over has hit in four out of Williams’ last five appearances, and his ERA is 5.02 on the road. Despite Urias’ recent struggles, the Dodgers have gone under in eight of his last nine appearances – and the total was equal to or lower than Sunday’s total of nine runs. Both of these teams score fewer runs in day games, as well. The under (U9, -120) looks like a pretty good play here.
Odds via BetMGM
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