Wednesday is a big day for the American League Central. The Cleveland Guardians take on the Detroit Tigers, and the Chicago White Sox host the Minnesota Twins. This betting guide will offer some insights as to the best value plays for this pair of games based on recent trends going on between these teams in the division.
Cleveland Guardians (-175) vs Detroit Tigers (+145)
Cleveland starter Shane Bieber has had a decent season, even if his 3-4 record doesn’t show it. He has a 3.16 ERA and 93 strikeouts across 91 innings pitched. He’s also been good in his two starts against Detroit, allowing just three earned runs while striking out 15 over 15 innings pitched. Comerica Park has been somewhat of a home away from home for the Guardians, as Cleveland has won 41 of the last 60 meetings there between the teams. Take Cleveland (-175) in this one.
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The Tigers haven’t given starter Michael Pineda much run support this season, as they’ve totaled just 10 runs over his six starts – including just one in his first start back from the injured list. The total has gone under in each of those starts, as well. The under has also hit in Cleveland’s last four games and is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings between these teams. Both pitchers have been pretty sharp lately, so take the under (U7.5, -120).
Minnesota Twins (-110) vs Chicago White Sox (-110)
The Twins have won the last seven meetings between these teams. They’ve won all five this season, including Tuesday’s victory. Twins starter Joe Ryan has been superb on the road, going 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 1.04 WHIP (walks+hits per inning pitched) with 24 strikeouts over 27 innings pitched. Lance Lynn has had a rough season for the White Sox, especially at home where he has a 6.17 ERA over 11.2 innings pitched. This looks like a good spot for the Twins (-110) to continue to roll against Chicago.
In their five games against each other this season, the over has gone 3-1-1. However, both of these teams also like to go under the total against righties, and two of them are going on Wednesday. The under is 4-0-1 in Chicago’s last five against a right-handed starter, and the under has hit the same 4-0-1 mark in the Twins’ last five in the same situation. Take the under again here (U8.5, -120).
Odds via BetMGM
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