In today’s MLB betting guide, we look at an NL West matchup between the San Francisco Giants and Colorado Rockies, while the Baltimore Orioles look to take advantage of the Kansas City Royals.
San Francisco Giants (-250) vs Colorado Rockies (+200)
There are multiple reasons why the Giants are as favoured as they are but we’ll start by looking at the pitching matchup. San Francisco’s starter Logan Webb has been even better than his stats show with a 3.82 ERA (earned run average) and has a good record (5-1) to go behind a strong team that’s 30-25 on the season. Austin Gomber has been significantly better than it appears since the difference between his ERA (6.54) and FIP (fielding independent pitching: 4.63) is 1.91. The defense has only hurt him when he’s on the mount. Regardless, he isn’t the Rockies’ best option nor is he having a great season regardless of defense.
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The Rockies come into this game struggling over the past 10, winning only three games. They have a very hard time on the road with a record of 8-16, while the Giants have won more than they have lost in their home stadium. Give the Giants an advantage in everything but batting average and hits, but Gomber and the defense of the Rockies should allow more than enough players to get on base. Take the Giants in this game and jump on the over (O8, -110).
Kansas City Royals (-110) vs Baltimore Orioles (-110)
This matchup between the Royals and the Orioles is a pick’em, which bodes well for us planning on betting against the worst team in the MLB. The Royals finally pulled out a win and stopped the Toronto Blue Jays’ tear after being shut out in consecutive games, but it doesn’t change their 2-8 record over the past 10 games. On the other side, the Orioles may be one of the lower-tier teams, but they have gone 5-5 over their past 10 games and have six more wins than the Royals.
The Royals may have the third-best fielding percentage in the MLB, but it hasn’t helped Kris Bubic much in the little number of innings he’s pitched this season. His ERA is over 9.00 and his WHIP (walks+hits per inning pitched) is over 2.00, while his FIP is still 7.56, which shouldn’t give confidence to the team behind him that has struggled mightily as well to put bats on balls and get runs. The Orioles are a great choice to beat the last-place team that doesn’t have anything going for them.
Odds via Yahoo and BetMGM.
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