There are a lot of games going on in Major League Baseball on Thursday, and two pretty good ones are happening on the West Coast. The Chicago Cubs take on the Los Angeles Dodgers, and the San Diego Padres host the San Francisco Giants. This betting guide will offer some of the top value plays for both games based on recent trends between the teams.
Chicago Cubs (+225) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (-275)
Los Angeles starter Tony Gonsolin is on a run for the Cy Young. He’s 10-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 0.82 WHIP (walks+hits per inning pitched), and most of that has come at home. When throwing at Dodger Stadium, he’s 6-0 with a 0.88 ERA and 0.71 WHIP. The Cubs are 0-6 in the last six meetings, including all three meetings between the teams this season. Los Angeles has outscored them 20-3 in those three games. Take the Dodgers run line here (-2.5, +120).
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Cubs starter Mark Leiter has been a little stingy lately, with a 2.89 ERA in his last three starts. That’s nearly two runs below his ERA for the season (4.85). The total has gone under in seven of Gonsolin’s last eight starts, as well as six of Leiter’s last seven. The over hasn’t hit in the last six meetings between these teams in Los Angeles, and the Cubs haven’t scored more than two runs against the Dodgers all season. It looks like that might be the play again here. Lean toward the under (U8, +100).
San Francisco Giants (+110) vs San Diego Padres (-135)
This looks like a great pitching matchup, with Joe Musgrove starting for the Padres and Logan Webb taking the mound for the Giants. Musgrove has struggled lately, going 1-2 with a 4.95 ERA over his last three starts. Webb has been great lately, with a 1.89 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in his last three outings. The Padres have won four of the six meetings between these teams, including the last three in a row, but there is good value on the Giants here (+110).
The total has gone over in each of the last five meetings in San Diego and in 15 of the last 21 meetings overall. It’s also gone over in three of Musgrove’s last five starts, and in Webb’s last two starts. These pitchers are good, and this looks like a pitcher’s duel, but his number just seems too low to go under. Take the over (O6.5, -120) in this one.
Odds via BetMGM
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