MLB Betting: Braves vs Nationals & Mets vs Marlins – 07/09/22

In today’s MLB betting guide, the Washington Nationals look to break their slump against the Atlanta Braves, while the Miami Marlins try to continue their improved play against the New York Mets.

Atlanta Braves (-250) vs Washington Nationals (+190)

The Nationals have been struggling big time lately as they have lost two in a row and are 2-8 in their past 10 games. It doesn’t get any better with Patrick Corbin on the mound, though he may have turned a corner. I’m still very skeptical, but he has allowed one run in each of the past two games (15 innings) and struck out 16. He is still 4-10 on the season with a 5.66 ERA (earned run average) and 1.66 WHIP (walks+hits per inning pitched) despite that. Even if he does pitch well, the batting of the Nationals has been terrible and won’t give him run support.

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As for the Braves, they have a strong pitcher in Kyle Wright on the mound who has pitched well the entire season rather than just lately. He has had two consecutive strong outings despite only lasting four innings in his previous game. But he has given up just one run over his past 11 innings and is looking for his 10th win and 100th strikeout of the season today. The Braves have been able to give tons of run support as the entire team is hitting the ball very well. This has helped the team just reach 50 wins on the season and win seven of the last 10. It’s a no-brainer to go with the Braves, but I’m not convinced of the runline. Stick with the moneyline for the safe but worse odds, and go with the under (U9.5, -110);

New York Mets (-175) vs Miami Marlins (+145)

The Marlins bounced back and beat the Mets in the second game of this series and have won seven of their past 10 games. The Mets haven’t been as good, as they’re just 5-5. Miami looks like the better option and primed for an upset in Game 3, but the one big thing that makes that a bit tough is the Mets’ record at home (27-14). They play well at home, but you can also think of it as they have still lost 14 and the Marlins are rolling. They have half of their wins themselves on the road.

Carlos Carrasco, the Mets’ starting pitcher, has struggled more than usual lately as he allowed 11 runs in 6.2 innings (two starts) before a better outing in his previous game. His previous good start came on June 6, so it was a while in between, and doesn’t give evidence he will have another good outing. The Marlins have generally gotten strong pitching this season and it’s a reason they’ve played well lately. Starting for them today is Braxton Garrett who is coming off a very strong start where he went 7.1 innings, gave up one run, and allowed four hits. He has had just two bad starts this season even though he hasn’t pitched a ton. The Mets’ batting hasn’t been great, so he can replicate his previous performance. Take the Marlins as the underdog and the under (U8, -115).

Odds via Yahoo and BetMGM.

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