In today’s MLB betting guide, the Atlanta Braves look to catch the New York Mets, while the Los Angeles Dodgers try to extend their win streak against the St. Louis Cardinals.
Atlanta Braves (-185) vs New York Mets (+150)
The Mets technically have a better record than the Braves and have just played a little worse than them lately, but the real kicker that makes the Braves so much more favoured is the pitching. Spencer Strider has played amazing in his last three starts (18 innings), allowing one earned run, eight hits, zero home runs, three walks, and striking out 30 batters. He has pitched very well since joining the starting rotation and the Braves bats that include first- and third-ranked Austin Riley and Michael Harris II have helped with that.
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The Mets’ starter David Peterson isn’t bad, but he has underperformed lately, allowing six earned runs in the past 9.2 innings and issuing five walks in his previous outing (3.2 innings). The bats of the Mets have gone cold and if Strider continues his dominance, the batting isn’t suddenly going to break out tonight. The Braves have the rightful advantage and with a combination of their starter and their hitting, it’s wise to take them and the over (O8.5, -105).
St. Louis Cardinals (+120) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (-145)
Though the Cardinals have a solid record this season, it’s interesting to see that the Dodgers who are on a seven game win streak and who are 9-1 in their past 10 aren’t favoured by more. The Cardinals are just 4-6 in their last 10 games but have also won two in a row, and despite two strong teams, neither have hit very many overs in games lately.
The Dodgers have an inexperienced Matt White on the mound while the Cardinals throw out rookie Matthew Liberatore. Give the Dodgers the advantage here as White has better overall stats than Liberatore and White has allowed just one earned run in the past two starts (10.1 innings). Liberatore hasn’t had the same outcomes as he either pitches well or gets lit up, generally back and forth. His last start was strong, but that likely means he’s due to give up four to five runs. Take the Dodgers with good value here and the over (O8.5, -120).
Odds via Yahoo and BetMGM.
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