There’s another full slate of Major League Baseball games on Friday. The Atlanta Braves hope to keep up their winning ways in the Windy City, taking on the Chicago Cubs. The Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds face each other as both teams try and get on track. This betting guide will give insight into some of the better value plays in both of those contests.
Atlanta Braves (-185) vs Chicago Cubs (+150)
Things have been going very well for the Braves. Atlanta has won 14 games in a row and is heading to Chicago to face a Cubs team that has lost 10 in a row. However, Braves starter Charlie Morton has struggled against the Cubs and lost to them earlier this year. In his last two starts against the Cubs, Morton has an ERA of 8.00 while giving up eight hits and seven walks over 8.2 innings pitched. This may sound crazy, but this is a decent matchup for Chicago. There’s some value with the Cubs money line (+150), and if that seems too risky, lean on the run line (+1.5, -110).
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The over has hit in Morton’s last nine starts and in four of Atlanta’s last five contests. Chicago can also give up a ton of runs at any given moment, and this one could turn out to be high scoring, as well. At least 10 runs were scored in each of Chicago’s last three games. The value in this one is in the over, so take a good look at the over in this one (O8, -110).
Milwaukee Brewers (-115) vs Cincinnati Reds (-105)
Cincinnati has won three of its last four and is finally starting to score some runs with 21 scored during that stretch. The Brewers have lost Eric Lauer’s last three starts, and he has an ERA of 6.60 over that stretch. He was demolished by the Washington Nationals in his last start, and he’s also been rough on the road, going 2-2 with a 5.05 ERA with 32 hits and 17 walks over 35.2 innings pitched. Lean towards the Reds (-105) to take this series opener.
These teams have played six times this season, and the over has gone 5-0-1 in those games. At least one team has scored 10 runs in four of those contests. The over has also hit in all of Lauer’s last three starts and is 6-0-2 in the last eight meetings between these teams in Cincinnati. Both of these starters have been erratic, so take the over (O9.5, -110) again in this one.
Odds via BetMGM
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